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Analysis of Bed Temperature on Circulated Fluidized Bed Boiler Using Simple Multivariable Regression
), Teguh Kurniawan(2), Hafid Alwan(3), Yazid Bindar(4), Anton Irawan(5),
(1) Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa
(2) Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa
(3) Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa
(4) Institut Teknologi Bandung
(5) Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa
Corresponding Author
Abstract
A Circulated Fluidized Bed (CFB) boiler is a type of steam boiler with more complex phenomena of fluidization and combustion occurring in the furnace. One of the operating problems is the temperature bed which is difficult to predict. Bed temperature prediction is important as a reference to know the combustion process and heat transfer along the furnace. The purpose of this study is multivariable data analysis to predict bed temperature based on historical data. The amount of historical data is then prepared for the dataset and passes through the stages of data cleansing, visualization, exploration, and engineering judgment. The parameters selected as control variables after going through the first principal analysis are 5 parameters, namely gross power, coal feed (X1), primary air (PA) flow (X2), secondary air (SA) flow (X3), and average bed temperature (y). The dataset is then divided based on the load into 2 groups a low load of 20.03-30.00 MW and a high load of 30.01-54.41 MW. Each parameter is converted to the natural logarithm (ln) then multivariable regression is performed. The result is a low load model equation with Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) = 23.2813 and a high load model equation with RMSE = 4.8416. This model can be used to predict the average bed temperature at certain input conditions of coal feed, PA flow, and SA flow according to operating load. Prospects for bed temperature prediction with this multivariable can be developed using data-based machine learning so that the operating patterns obtained are more accurate and real-time forecast prediction.
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